Sao Joao Ver 0-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.47/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.38
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Trofense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Trofense Trofense 3-0 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
05.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
15.09.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0-1
AWAY Trofense
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense edged past Sao Joao Ver 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Trofense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 52% of the ball to Trofense's 48%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.33 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Trofense?

Sao Joao Ver 0-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 37%, draw 29%, Trofense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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