Caldas 2-1 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -23%
1.26/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.79
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 3-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
07.12.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-2 HT 0-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
24.08.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 2-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
28.04.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
25.02.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 3-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.12.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
2-1
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas edged past Oliveira Hospital 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 59% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 41%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oliveira Hospital led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caldas and 1.83 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital?

Caldas 2-1 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caldas 44%, draw 26%, Oliveira Hospital 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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