Sporting Braga II 0-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.68/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.12
+26% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
26.01.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
27.10.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-2 HT 2-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-4 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
15.09.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.02.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
0-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense nicked a narrow win over Sporting Braga II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 40% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 60%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.50 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense?

Sporting Braga II 0-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 43%, draw 28%, Sanjoanense 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Braga II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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