Amarante 0-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 30%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.52/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.05
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II nicked a narrow win over Amarante 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Sporting CP II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Amarante had 40% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 60%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Sporting CP II?

Amarante 0-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amarante 40%, draw 32%, Sporting CP II 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amarante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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