Sporting CP II 2-0 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.01/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
-41% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amarante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Amarante Amarante 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-0
AWAY Amarante
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II saw off Amarante 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 49% of the ball to Amarante's 51%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Amarante?

Sporting CP II 2-0 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 54%, draw 24%, Amarante 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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