CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.37/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.47
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Lusitania FC Lourosa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was CF Os Belenenses at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 60% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 40%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 43%, draw 29%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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