Uniao Santarem 1-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.03/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
-20% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
05.01.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
14.09.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-0
AWAY Dezembro
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem edged past Dezembro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uniao Santarem as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 45% of the ball to Dezembro's 55%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uniao Santarem had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uniao Santarem and 0.33 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Dezembro?

Uniao Santarem 1-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 46%, draw 24%, Dezembro 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao Santarem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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