Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitano Évora 1911 v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 squeezed past Sporting Covilha 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 53% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 47%, shots finished 14-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 0.33 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha?
Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 56%, draw 26%, Sporting Covilha 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.