Sporting Covilha 0-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 45%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
24.09.2023 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-2
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 saw off Sporting Covilha 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Lusitano Évora 1911 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 59% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 41%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.50 for Lusitano Évora 1911.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Sporting Covilha 0-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 38%, draw 26%, Lusitano Évora 1911 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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