Dezembro 1-3 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 51%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-27% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
11.10.2020 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-3
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria beat Dezembro 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Dezembro had 51% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Uniao De Leiria?

Dezembro 1-3 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 30%, draw 25%, Uniao De Leiria 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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