Estoril 1-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.4
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.41
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.67
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
21%
3.35
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 43%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.64
+21% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +119%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Famalicao
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 3-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
01.12.2024 Estoril Estoril 2-1 HT 2-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.04.2024 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
17.12.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
29.01.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
15.12.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
1-2
AWAY Famalicao
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estoril vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao nicked a narrow win over Estoril 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Estoril had 49% of the ball to Famalicao's 51%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estoril and 1.17 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Estoril vs Famalicao?

Estoril 1-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estoril 34%, draw 24%, Famalicao 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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