Sporting CP 3-0 Marinhense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Nov 2025

Sporting CP
3-0 HT 2-0
Marinhense
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Sporting CP vs Marinhense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
24.85
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
41%
4.37
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
19%
1.76
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.37 — our 41% vs market 16.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
58%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
84%
-9.2pp
13%
Draw
8%
+5.4pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Marinhense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Marinhense EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
3.95/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+30% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
448 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 74%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.0 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Sporting CP 3-0 Marinhense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-0
AWAY Marinhense
78% Ball Possession 22%
32 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Marinhense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Marinhense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (72%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Sporting CP had 78% of the ball to Marinhense's 22%, shots finished 32-5.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Marinhense?

Sporting CP 3-0 Marinhense in the Portugal - Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Marinhense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 75%, draw 13%, Marinhense 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
22 Nov 2025
14:00 AVS vs Academico Viseu Analysis →
17:00 Alpendorada vs Casa Pia Analysis →
18:00 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Mortagua Analysis →
18:30 Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Analysis →
19:00 Dezembro vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
21:00 Estoril vs Famalicao Analysis →