Sporting Braga II 2-1 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.44/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.85
+4% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AD Marco 09
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-1
AWAY AD Marco 09
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Sporting Braga II vs AD Marco 09
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Braga II edged past AD Marco 09 2-1 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 4 Jan 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 46% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 54%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs AD Marco 09?

Sporting Braga II 2-1 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 47%, draw 27%, AD Marco 09 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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