Academica 2-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
0.84/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.46
-36% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
15.09.2024 Academica Academica 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.05.2024 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
10.03.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-3 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
27.01.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
29.10.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
2-0
AWAY Atletico CP
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academica vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica saw off Atletico CP 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Academica had 68% of the ball to Atletico CP's 32%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academica and 1.67 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Academica vs Atletico CP?

Academica 2-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academica 44%, draw 27%, Atletico CP 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5
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