İtalya 1-0 Bosna-Hersek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jun 2024

İtalya
1-0 HT 1-0
Bosna-Hersek
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

İtalya vs Bosna-Hersek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.4
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
29.5
X/1
31%
3.22
X/2
5%
25.5
X/X
7%
8.32
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
5%
21.85
2/X
7%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya v Bosna-Hersek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.54/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/2.82
+67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
497 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 66%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.6
18.5 Crosses 5.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

İtalya vs Bosna-Hersek Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.86 xG 1.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
556 Passes 329
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2020 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 0-2 HT 0-1 İtalya İtalya AVUL
04.09.2020 İtalya İtalya 1-1 HT 0-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVUL
15.11.2019 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 0-3 HT 0-2 İtalya İtalya AVŞE
11.06.2019 İtalya İtalya 2-1 HT 0-1 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVŞE

İtalya 1-0 Bosna-Hersek — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya
1-0
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
1.70 xG 0.89
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
590 Passes 316
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya vs Bosna-Hersek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya edged past Bosna-Hersek 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, İtalya had 64% of the ball to Bosna-Hersek's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.70 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İtalya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İtalya and 0.50 for Bosna-Hersek.

What was the final score of İtalya vs Bosna-Hersek?

İtalya 1-0 Bosna-Hersek in the Friendlies on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya vs Bosna-Hersek?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split İtalya 67%, draw 18%, Bosna-Hersek 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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