ABD 1-5 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.25
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
14%
5.66
X/2
7%
4.97
X/X
20%
4.13
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.55
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.82/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.38
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
11.2 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kolombiya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.43 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2023 ABD ABD 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
12.10.2018 ABD ABD 2-4 HT 0-1 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
26.06.2016 ABD ABD 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
14.11.2014 ABD ABD 1-2 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
13.10.2010 ABD ABD 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
06.07.2007 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 1-0 ABD ABD AKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
1-5
AWAY Kolombiya
0.98 xG 2.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
435 Passes 387
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ABD vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya cruised past ABD 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Kolombiya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD had 53% of the ball to Kolombiya's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.98 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ABD and 1.33 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of ABD vs Kolombiya?

ABD 1-5 Kolombiya in the Friendlies on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split ABD 34%, draw 33%, Kolombiya 32%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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