Karadağ 1-3 Gürcistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.69
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +96%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karadağ
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gürcistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
10.10.2009 Karadağ Karadağ 2-1 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE
01.04.2009 Gürcistan Gürcistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Karadağ Karadağ DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ
1-3
AWAY Gürcistan
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
425 Passes 321
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karadağ vs Gürcistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan beat Karadağ 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Gürcistan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karadağ had 54% of the ball to Gürcistan's 46%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karadağ had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karadağ and 0.50 for Gürcistan.

What was the final score of Karadağ vs Gürcistan?

Karadağ 1-3 Gürcistan in the Friendlies on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Gürcistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 39%, draw 31%, Gürcistan 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karadağ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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