İsveç (K) 2-2 İtalya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 9 Jun 2026

📅09/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
4.97/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç (K)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY İtalya (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.79 xG 0.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
268 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2026 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) KDK
30.05.2025 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
04.04.2025 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
31.10.2023 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
26.09.2023 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
29.07.2023 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç (K)
2-2
AWAY İtalya (K)
3.19 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 13
193 Passes 327
27 Box Touches 43
33 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç (K) and İtalya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was İsveç (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İsveç (K) had 47% of the ball to İtalya (K)'s 53%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 3.19 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İsveç (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for İsveç (K) and 0.50 for İtalya (K).

What was the final score of İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K)?

İsveç (K) 2-2 İtalya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 09/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İsveç (K) 47%, draw 23%, İtalya (K) 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsveç (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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