San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Austin — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Austin
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
3-3
HT 3-2
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-2
HT 0-1
Austin
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes and Austin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 53% of the ball to Austin's 47%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 1.92 to 2.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.17 for Austin.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Austin in the USA - Open Cup on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 48%, draw 23%, Austin 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.