San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Austin — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Austin
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
3-3
HT 3-2
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-2
HT 0-1
Austin
ABD
4-0
HT 0-0
Austin
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes and Austin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 48% of the ball to Austin's 52%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.39 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.00 for Austin.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 47%, draw 26%, Austin 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.