FCSB 3-2 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.39/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.88
+14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
4W-1D-1L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
31.03.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
17.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.05.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
17.04.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
3-2
AWAY SSC Farul
2.21 xG 1.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
466 Passes 212
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB edged past SSC Farul 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FCSB had 65% of the ball to SSC Farul's 35%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.21 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FCSB and 1.00 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of FCSB vs SSC Farul?

FCSB 3-2 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FCSB 44%, draw 29%, SSC Farul 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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