Livingston 3-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Aug 2025

Livingston
3-1 HT 2-0
Falkirk
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.65
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.59
X/2
12%
5.88
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
11%
3.96
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.33/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.04
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.1 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Livingston vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Falkirk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.03.2025 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
31.01.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-2 Livingston Livingston İKCL
16.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
08.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
13.07.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKLK
17.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL

Livingston 3-1 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
3-1
AWAY Falkirk
1.59 xG 0.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
183 Passes 307
61% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston got the better of Falkirk 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Livingston found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Livingston had 41% of the ball to Falkirk's 59%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Livingston and 0.33 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Falkirk?

Livingston 3-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Livingston 39%, draw 28%, Falkirk 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5
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