Morpeth Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.30/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.74
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
18.01.2025 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 4-2 HT 2-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
08.10.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
18.11.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town edged past Morpeth Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ilkeston Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ilkeston Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.33 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Morpeth Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 38%, draw 25%, Ilkeston Town 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Morpeth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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