Österlen 2-3 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.01/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.77
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 3-2 HT 2-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
29.09.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
26.05.2024 Österlen Österlen 2-1 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK edged past Österlen 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Österlen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hogaborgs BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Österlen and 2.00 for Hogaborgs BK.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Hogaborgs BK?

Österlen 2-3 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Österlen 46%, draw 24%, Hogaborgs BK 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Österlen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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