Malmö FF 1-3 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.58
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.43
X/2
8%
7.86
X/X
8%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
14%
6.24
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +4%
1.71/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.31
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.2 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
462 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
29.09.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
13.07.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
14.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
09.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
21.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-3
AWAY Mjallby
2.10 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
414 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby saw off Malmö FF 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.10 to 0.99 — on chances, Malmö FF could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malmö FF and 1.17 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Mjallby?

Malmö FF 1-3 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 48%, draw 24%, Mjallby 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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