Mjallby 1-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Jun 2025

Mjallby
1-1 HT 0-1
Malmö FF
📅30/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Mjallby vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.24
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.3
X/2
8%
6.66
X/X
15%
4.59
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.63
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.67/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.49
+30% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.5 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

Mjallby vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 1.44
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
218 Passes 484
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
13.07.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
14.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
09.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
21.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.05.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ

Mjallby 1-1 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY Malmö FF
1.55 xG 1.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
465 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and Malmö FF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mjallby had 61% of the ball to Malmö FF's 39%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.55 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjallby and 1.17 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Malmö FF?

Mjallby 1-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 42%, draw 29%, Malmö FF 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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