Djurgarden 1-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 28% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.13
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
10%
9.9
X/X
11%
6.12
2/1
9%
20.45
2/2
12%
7.22
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.48/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.55
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.2 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Norrköping
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
441 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
08.07.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-3 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.06.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
31.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
16.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
1-1
AWAY Norrköping
1.79 xG 0.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
460 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
47 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden and Norrköping shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 64% of the ball to Norrköping's 36%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Djurgarden and 0.83 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Norrköping?

Djurgarden 1-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 45%, draw 27%, Norrköping 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5
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