Sturm Graz II 4-4 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.27/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.29
-16% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
Crosses 13.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Stripfing
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Stripfing Stripfing 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
24.09.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-0 HT 2-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
20.05.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-0 HT 1-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
10.11.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
4-4
AWAY Stripfing
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II and Stripfing couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 4-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 49% of the ball to Stripfing's 51%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.00 for Stripfing.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing?

Sturm Graz II 4-4 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 42%, draw 21%, Stripfing 38%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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