Stripfing 2-1 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.32
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
4%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.32
X/2
12%
6.27
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
4%
26.0
2/2
16%
4.29
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stripfing EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 37%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.17/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.09
-25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stripfing
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-0 HT 2-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
20.05.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-0 HT 1-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
10.11.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stripfing
2-1
AWAY Sturm Graz II
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stripfing vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stripfing edged past Sturm Graz II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stripfing as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stripfing had 51% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stripfing and 2.00 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Stripfing vs Sturm Graz II?

Stripfing 2-1 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stripfing vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stripfing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stripfing 41%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz II 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stripfing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stripfing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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