Austria Lustenau 1-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.98
X/2
8%
6.71
X/X
9%
4.42
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.98
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.36/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.55
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.3 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
13.09.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
22.04.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
15.10.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 6-0 HT 5-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
16.04.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
24.11.2020 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
17.07.2020 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-6 HT 0-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV edged past Austria Lustenau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Lustenau at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Austria Lustenau and 0.33 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Kapfenberger SV?

Austria Lustenau 1-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 47%, draw 25%, Kapfenberger SV 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
28 Mar 2025
20:00 Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II Analysis →
20:00 FC Liefering vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →
20:00 Lafnitz vs Bregenz Analysis →
20:00 Stripfing vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →
20:00 Voitsberg vs Ried Analysis →
22:30 Admira Wacker vs St. Pölten Analysis →