Admira Wacker 1-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 29% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
13%
6.8
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.13
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -23%
0.60/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.60
-3% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
14.0 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.54 xG 0.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
157 Passes 326
60% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
12.04.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-3 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
22.09.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
21.04.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
26.08.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
08.05.2021 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
1-1
AWAY St. Pölten
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker and St. Pölten couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 56% of the ball to St. Pölten's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Admira Wacker and 0.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs St. Pölten?

Admira Wacker 1-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 39%, draw 29%, St. Pölten 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Admira Wacker), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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