Amstetten 2-2 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.08
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.39
X/2
8%
6.7
X/X
11%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.9
2/2
16%
4.29
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
2.07/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.89
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
202 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
18.0 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-0 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
31.03.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
13.08.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 2-2 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.05.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 5-2 HT 2-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
19.11.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 5-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
16.05.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 2-3 HT 2-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten and Rapid Wien II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Amstetten at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Amstetten and 2.17 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II?

Amstetten 2-2 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 44%, draw 25%, Rapid Wien II 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Amstetten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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