Lafnitz 1-4 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.18
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.55
X/2
13%
6.49
X/X
13%
5.76
2/1
6%
22.9
2/2
14%
4.02
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.66/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.24
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.2 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bregenz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 4-1 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
30.03.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-0 HT 2-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
02.09.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz ran out comfortable winners over Lafnitz 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bregenz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bregenz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lafnitz and 2.00 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Bregenz?

Lafnitz 1-4 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lafnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 38%, draw 25%, Bregenz 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lafnitz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lafnitz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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