AS Eupen 2-0 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 34%
-31% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.60/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
-22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.5 Crosses 18.5
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Liege
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.75 xG 1.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
356 Passes 188
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 6
21.12.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
18.08.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-3 HT 0-2 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
2-0
AWAY RFC Liege
1.48 xG 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
325 Passes 441
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen got the better of RFC Liege 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day AS Eupen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 42% of the ball to RFC Liege's 58%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.48 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AS Eupen and 0.50 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs RFC Liege?

AS Eupen 2-0 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 40%, draw 24%, RFC Liege 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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