Lierse Kempenzonen 0-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.22/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.23
-10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
18.1 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
320 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
13.12.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
10.02.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-1 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
04.11.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
07.05.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-3 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.03.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.25 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
182 Passes 189
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
4 Box Touches 13
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren saw off Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 52% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 48%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.25 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 2.00 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Waasland-Beveren?

Lierse Kempenzonen 0-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 22%, draw 24%, Waasland-Beveren 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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