Montpellier 1-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
21%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.29
X/X
8%
4.64
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
12%
6.81
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.67/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.61
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
1-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.28 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
362 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier and Red Star FC 93 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Montpellier had 51% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 49%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.28 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

Montpellier 1-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 54%, draw 22%, Red Star FC 93 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montpellier) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ BTTS Yes
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