Pau 2-0 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Aug 2025

Pau
2-0 HT 1-0
Annecy
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.41
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.23
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.47
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.56/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.23
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.0 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Annecy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
01.11.2024 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
27.01.2024 Annecy Annecy 0-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
23.09.2023 Pau Pau 0-3 HT 0-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
28.01.2023 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 0-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
15.10.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-2 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
2-0
AWAY Annecy
1.39 xG 0.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
391 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pau vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau beat Annecy 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Pau had 58% of the ball to Annecy's 42%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 1.39 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pau and 1.17 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Pau vs Annecy?

Pau 2-0 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pau 43%, draw 28%, Annecy 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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