Stade Lavallois 3-3 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.18
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.82
X/2
16%
5.34
X/X
8%
4.23
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.65
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.11/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.28
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 83%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.4 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 464
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.10.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
13.05.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
10.01.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.04.2004 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
01.11.2003 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
3-3
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.67 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
365 Passes 449
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Saint-Etienne couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 46% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.83 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Saint-Etienne?

Stade Lavallois 3-3 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 36%, draw 26%, Saint-Etienne 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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