Dunkerque 2-2 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.8
X/2
8%
6.66
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
16%
5.18
2/X
9%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.55/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.0 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Clermont
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 443
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Dunkerque Dunkerque 3-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
13.09.2024 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
16.01.2021 Clermont Clermont 5-0 HT 2-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
29.08.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
2-2
AWAY Clermont
1.81 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
401 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque and Clermont shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dunkerque at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dunkerque had 58% of the ball to Clermont's 42%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.81 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dunkerque had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Dunkerque and 1.50 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Clermont?

Dunkerque 2-2 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 42%, draw 27%, Clermont 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dunkerque), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
9 Aug 2025
15:00 Guingamp vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
21:00 Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
21:00 Pau vs Annecy Analysis →
21:00 Troyes vs Grenoble Analysis →
21:00 Rodez vs Nancy Analysis →