Crusaders FC 3-4 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.24
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
5%
8.92
X/X
8%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.75
2/2
10%
6.92
2/X
8%
16.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.84
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
31.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
08.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers edged past Crusaders FC 4-3 away from home. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Crusaders FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.83 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Crusaders FC 3-4 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 56%, draw 25%, Carrick Rangers 20%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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