Glenavon FC 0-2 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.75
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
7%
7.1
X/X
15%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.95
2/2
9%
5.29
2/X
5%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.65/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ballymena United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 2-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.04.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
30.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United got the better of Glenavon FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.00 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Glenavon FC 0-2 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 52%, draw 26%, Ballymena United 22%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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