Ballymena United 0-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.89
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.44
X/2
14%
5.36
X/X
9%
4.41
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.81
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · X/1 at 5.44 — our 23% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.99/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.37
-26% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 2-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.04.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
30.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.11.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC saw off Ballymena United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballymena United and 0.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC?

Ballymena United 0-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 42%, draw 23%, Glenavon FC 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ballymena United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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