Riga Mariners 3-1 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
-0.2pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.53/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.59
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga Mariners
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marupe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.04.2025 Marupe Marupe 1-2 Riga Mariners LET1
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners got the better of Marupe 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs Marupe?

Riga Mariners 3-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 64%, draw 15%, Marupe 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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