Ogre United 3-0 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.41/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.47
-38% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.04.2025 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-1 Ogre United LET1
21.09.2024 Ogre United 3-2 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
19.05.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-0 HT 1-0 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United swept aside JFK Ventspils 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ogre United and 1.67 for JFK Ventspils.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils?

Ogre United 3-0 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 55%, draw 24%, JFK Ventspils 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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