Smiltene 1-2 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

Smiltene
1-2 HT 1-2
Skanste
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Smiltene vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smiltene v Skanste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.39/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.91
-14% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +79%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Smiltene vs Skanste Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Skanste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Skanste Skanste 1-1 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
10.11.2024 Skanste Skanste 0-3 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
28.07.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-1 Skanste Skanste LET1
12.08.2023 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
14.04.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-2 HT 1-2 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste nicked a narrow win over Smiltene 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Smiltene and 1.80 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Skanste?

Smiltene 1-2 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 34%, draw 25%, Skanste 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ BTTS Yes
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