Atmosfera 4-1 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 29%
-37% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.23/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.59
-28% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
424 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
24 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
05.10.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-3 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
19.05.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-5 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
12.08.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera swept aside FA Siauliai II 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atmosfera had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Atmosfera and 1.75 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II?

Atmosfera 4-1 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 50%, draw 22%, FA Siauliai II 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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