Lietava Jonava 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
2.55/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.12
+39% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
29.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
1-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava and Kauno Zalgiris II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lietava Jonava at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 54% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 46%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lietava Jonava and 0.50 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Lietava Jonava 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 51%, draw 25%, Kauno Zalgiris II 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lietava Jonava), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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