Venados 1-3 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.86/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
+14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 9
06.03.2025 Venados Venados 4-2 HT 3-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
28.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
11.01.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
30.08.2023 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.03.2023 Venados Venados 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
FAQ Venados vs CD Tapatio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CD Tapatio beat Venados 3-1 away from home in the Mexico - Primera A on 9 Aug 2025. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Venados and 1.00 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Venados vs CD Tapatio?

Venados 1-3 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Venados 55%, draw 22%, CD Tapatio 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venados) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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