Tigres UANL 7-0 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.1
Over
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.83
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
21%
2.95
6+
11%
9.27
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.83 — our 30% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Tigres UANL The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla The Market 18%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.70 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.86
0.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.90
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
23.4 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Puebla
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
460 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Puebla Puebla 0-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
06.10.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
01.08.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla CONLK
30.03.2024 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
01.12.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
7-0
AWAY Puebla
2.37 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
321 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Tigres UANL vs Puebla
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tigres UANL overpowered Puebla 7-0. Half-time: 2-0. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 47%. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.71, about 58%.

By the numbers, Puebla saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.37 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Tigres UANL against 0.83 for Puebla.

Tigres UANL vs Puebla Result & Final Score

Tigres UANL 7-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tigres UANL vs Puebla Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 61%, draw 21%, Puebla 18%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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