Puebla 0-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.05
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.8 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.73
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
282 Passes 447
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
01.08.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla CONLK
30.03.2024 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
01.12.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
02.07.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
0-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.90 xG 0.49
24% Ball Possession 76%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
119 Passes 530
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puebla and Tigres UANL played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Puebla had 24% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 76%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.90 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puebla and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Tigres UANL?

Puebla 0-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puebla 32%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ BTTS Yes
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